Invesco: April’s Terrible Jobs Report Doesn’t Derail My 2021 Optimism
The April 2021 jobs report was a shocker — a huge miss. It was estimated that non-farm payrolls would grow by slightly below 1 million, while whispers on the Street suggested some expected well over 1 million. But it was not to be — the US saw a relatively paltry 266,000 jobs created in the […]
Lord Abbett: What The April CPI Jump Might Mean For Fed Policy
While the larger than expected increase in the U.S. consumer price index took markets by surprise, the U.S. Federal Reserve likely will remain focused on labor costs. Consumer prices in April rose much more than expected according to a U.S. Bureau of Labor Statistics report released May 12, with the headline consumer price index (CPI) […]
John Hancock: Weekly Market Recap Week Ended May 21st
Positive indicators An index of leading U.S. economic indicators recorded its strongest monthly gain since last July. The 1.6% April increase that was reported on Thursday by The Conference Board marked the second consecutive solid monthly gain for the index. Labor market gains New U.S. claims for unemployment benefits fell to 444,000 in […]
Federated Hermes: The Consumer Is Healthy
BOTTOM LINE The relatively modest 4.3% correction suffered by the S&P 500 over the past week—stocks declined from an overbought 4,238 last Friday to an oversold 4,057 on Wednesday—was healthy, anticipated and largely technical in nature. Benchmark 10-year Treasury yields similarly plunged to an overbought 1.46% last Friday, after which yields rose to an oversold […]
PGIM: The Jump In U.S. Inflation And Where It May Head Next
The highly-anticipated jump in U.S. inflation has arrived. While the sustainability of the increase remains open for debate, recent readings have surged and market-based indicators continue to show a surprisingly prolonged increase in inflation expectations. In particular, following today’s strong CPI report for April, U.S. 10-year inflation breakevens stepped up to a fresh cycle high […]
John Hancock: Weekly Market Recap Week Ended May 14th
Rough patch Although the week’s overall declines weren’t huge, the market’s path was choppy, with big declines on the first three days of the week that sent the NASDAQ down a total of 5.2%. Before stocks turned positive on Thursday and Friday, the Cboe Volatility Index briefly climbed to its highest level in […]
Federated Hermes: Investing Without Boundaries
Federated Hermes international investing professionals weigh in on opportunities ahead. Despite an uneven recovery that has China and many Asia-Pacific economies outpacing more pandemic-impacted emerging and developed markets, we expect a broader catch-up in 2021’s second half as vaccinations progress and economies reopen. With that said, we are keeping an eye on the Covid-19 variants […]
John Hancock: Weekly Market Recap Week Ended May 7th
Earnings surge First-quarter earnings continued to improve, and S&P 500 companies are now expected to report a cumulative 49% increase over last year’s first-quarter results, according to FactSet. That’s up from the roughly 25% gain that analysts had forecast at the start of earnings season. As of Friday, results were in from around 90% of […]
Schwab: Have Stocks Already Priced In Economic Boom?
Key Points With green all around us again now that winter is over (I know, in Naples FL where I live it’s always green); vaccines and herd immunity continuing to bring COVID cases down; and the economic reopening kicking into higher gear; the data is starting to shine. Across economic metrics—from gross domestic product (GDP) […]